- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Guardians
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+180) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Dodgers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 76-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 64-62 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | -225 |
| Guardians | +1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | +180 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 80.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+10.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Xzavion Curry | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 away games (+18.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 98 games (+18.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 120 games (+12.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.58 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+8.88 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 68-56 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 9.58% ROI).
- 76-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 69-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.1 Units / 11.02% ROI
- 49-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.1 Units / -19.19% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 64-62 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.6% ROI).
- 60-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -11.66% ROI
- 49-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -22.28% ROI
- 72-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.75 Units / 13.68% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has induced opposing hitters to ground into 12 double plays in 57 opportunities (21%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (358/618) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 63% (447/712) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (541/913) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (82/271) against Xzavion Curry since last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has struck out just 14% (23/169) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (20/50) against Xzavion Curry on elevated fastballs since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (25/86) against Xzavion Curry in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 164-26 (.863) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Dodgers are 64-6 (.914) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 66-32 (.673) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Dodgers are 34-15 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 29-99 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 11-19 (.367) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 135 extra-base hits out of 291 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 334 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .767 (3,370 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Dodgers have scored 1.62 runs per game (463/286) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,403 strikeouts in 7,868 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 608 strikeouts in 3,284 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (588.2 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (353.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.76 (1123.2 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (1334.2 IP) at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D10
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cameron Gallagher (Guardians): Concussion, D7
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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