- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Dodgers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+125) on Monday, May 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 32-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-25 ATS.
Dodgers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 5-3, 1.89 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 4-2, 4.00 ERA
Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -115 | -150 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -105 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+9.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.39 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 25-27 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -3.94% ROI).
- 32-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -3.42% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 5.47% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -12.3% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 27-25 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -2.82% ROI).
- 29-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 10.84% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 1.38% ROI
Guardians vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (49/72) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .128 (14-for-109) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (82/136) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .406 (118 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .348 (32-for-92) against Gavin Williams this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OBP of .423 (104 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (24/59) against Gavin Williams on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed a BABIP of .460 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .292 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 193-36 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians are 13-0 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 25-5 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .796 (2,293 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (14,639 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .291 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Guardians are batting just .255 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .652 (4,294 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
More MLB Reading:
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