- The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Mariners
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 88-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 70-76 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 +100 | -110 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -120 | -110 |
Dodgers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+16.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+11.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Bobby Miller | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 75 of their last 125 games (+26.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 119 games (+23.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 60 games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.78 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+16.54 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+15.34 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 66 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 81-64 against the Run Line (+20.05 Units / 11.55% ROI).
- 88-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 84-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +24.45 Units / 15.26% ROI
- 54-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -37.6 Units / -23.65% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 70-76 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -5.23% ROI).
- 81-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -8.52% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has averaged 99.0 MPH on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against Bobby Miller with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .162 — 94th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 16 of 661 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (1,766/2,500) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 9.4 (151/16) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (458/662) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Dodgers are 175-27 (.866) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Dodgers are 38-16 (.704) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 75-7 (.915) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Dodgers are 72-35 (.673) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mariners are 12-6 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Mariners are 133-6 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Mariners are 30-28 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Mariners are 83-11 (.883) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 17 double plays in 355 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (8,511 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,638 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,925 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (1043.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 817 of 11,267 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (1412.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 819 of 11,438 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 368 of 5,408 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (1398.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Wander Suero (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Gus Varland (Dodgers): Knee, D60
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