- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Mariners
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+120) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Dodgers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 89-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 70-77 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -105 | -145 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -115 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+15.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+10.60 Units / 59% ROI)
Mariners vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 82-64 against the Run Line (+21.6 Units / 12.37% ROI).
- 89-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 85-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +25.45 Units / 15.78% ROI
- 54-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -38.75 Units / -24.2% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 70-77 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -6.1% ROI).
- 81-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 75-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 67-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.75 Units / -9.17% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 57% of the time (187/328) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 68 opportunities (22%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 57% of the time (378/659) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 61% of the time (635/1,034) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (381/583) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (1,233/1,866) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (52/163) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (44/163) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Dodgers are 39-16 (.709) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 76-7 (.916) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Dodgers are 73-35 (.676) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Dodgers are 176-27 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mariners are 133-6 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 140-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 16-27 (.372) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mariners are 50-35 (.588) after a road win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Dodgers pitchers have walked 819 of 11,307 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1341.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (1412.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 181 of 2,779 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 370 of 5,445 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (1407.0 IP) at home since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Mariners pitchers have walked 821 of 11,475 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Wander Suero (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Gus Varland (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Senger Peralta (Dodgers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
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