- The Dodgers (87-37) are -200 favorites vs the Marlins (54-71)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May (1-0), 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (11-6), 2.19 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+170) on Saturday, August 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Dodgers vs Marlins Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 85-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 56-67 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 6.5 -105 | -200 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -110 | U 6.5 -115 | +170 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 45 of his last 63 away games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+13.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 61 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 120 games (+12.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 76-45 against the Run Line (+28.1 Units / 19.29% ROI).
- 85-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 4.34% ROI
- 50-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 62-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 4.99% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 56-67 against the Run Line (-21.2 Units / -12.95% ROI).
- 54-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 53-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 64-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.75% ROI
Dustin May: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Dustin May curveball was October 25th, 2020. Hitters are 0 for their last 29 in ABs ending on his curveball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
The last hit on a Dustin May breaking pitch was October 25th, 2020. Hitters are 0 for their last 29 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 27 ABs ending on a two-strike curveball from Dustin May. — Carlos Carrasco has the longest active streak at 36.
Dustin May has not allowed a hit to any of the last 26 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Tony Gonsolin has the longest active streak at 44.
Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 72% (527/732) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (263/478) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (53-for-301) against Sandy Alcantara’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 90th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has a strike rate of 71% (754/1,064) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 77-15 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 42-21 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Dodgers are 64-4 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Dodgers are 6-29 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 8-30 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Marlins are just 23-66 (.258) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Marlins are just 29-37 (.439) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Marlins are just 25-34 (.424) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (3,320 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,448 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (3,377 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .628 (2,727 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Marlins hitters have 760 strikeouts in 2,727 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .266 (1,031 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Marlins are batting just .203 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1271.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 306 of 4,438 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (2,847 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 54 of 513 batters (10%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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