- The Dodgers (87-38) are -300 favorites vs the Marlins (55-71)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (13-7), 2.35 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera (4-1), 1.40 ERA
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+230) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Miami.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Dodgers vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 85-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 57-67 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +105 | O 7 -115 | -300 |
| Marlins | +2.5 -130 | U 7 -105 | +230 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 64 away games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+14.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 49 of his last 74 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 62 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +100 |
| Julio Urias | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 121 games (+11.18 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 76-46 against the Run Line (+26.95 Units / 18.35% ROI).
- 85-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 3.46% ROI
- 50-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -14.48% ROI
- 63-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 5.69% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 57-67 against the Run Line (-20.2 Units / -12.26% ROI).
- 55-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -13.32% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.45% ROI
Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (686 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 90.7
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (1,386/1,998) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (509/1,174) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 95th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strikeout rate of just 26% (38 SO in 145 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 18th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has pitched 22.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Edward Cabrera has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 23.1 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/24) against Edward Cabrera — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.1 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 63.1.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 64-4 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Dodgers are 23-81 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 77-16 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Dodgers are 174-19 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 44-7 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Marlins are just 7-30 (.189) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Marlins are just 8-28 (.222) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Marlins are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .799 (3,411 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,411 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .458 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,460 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,034 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have 761 strikeouts in 2,730 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .569.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .283 (2,730 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 307 of 4,467 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1547.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1279.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 51 of 469 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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