Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 29, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (88-38) are -165 favorites vs the Marlins (55-72)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (16-1), 2.10 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (8-8), 3.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Dodgers vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 86-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 57-68 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +100O 7.5 -105-165
Marlins +1.5 -120U 7.5 -115+140

Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 65 away games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 63 games (+14.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 75 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)

Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
JJ Bleday 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Joey Wendle 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000

Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
JJ Bleday 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Joey Wendle 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
JJ Bleday 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Joey Wendle 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pablo Lopez 5.5 -125 5.5 -110
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 122 games (+12.18 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-46 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 18.85% ROI).

  • 86-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -13.63% ROI
  • 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 4.8% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 57-68 against the Run Line (-21.2 Units / -12.79% ROI).

  • 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
  • 54-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 65-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 4.56% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .122 (35-for-288) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .121 (48-for-397) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .201 (58 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (76-for-449) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (90/223) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (136/348) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (60/184) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (173/574) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Dodgers are 78-16 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Dodgers are 43-22 (.662) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Dodgers are 123-48 (.719) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Marlins are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Marlins are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Marlins are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Marlins are just 26-35 (.426) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,347 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (3,446 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .796 (1,475 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,446 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .263 (1,060 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Marlins hitters have 770 strikeouts in 2,756 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .282 (2,756 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (2,898 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,613 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have walked 311 of 4,500 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (1556.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.

Marlins pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.