- The Dodgers (88-38) are -165 favorites vs the Marlins (55-72)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (16-1), 2.10 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Pablo López (8-8), 3.66 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+140) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Dodgers vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 86-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 57-68 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -105 | -165 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -115 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 46 of his last 65 away games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 63 games (+14.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 75 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -110 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 122 games (+12.18 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-46 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 18.85% ROI).
- 86-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 3.82% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -13.63% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 4.8% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 57-68 against the Run Line (-21.2 Units / -12.79% ROI).
- 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 54-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -12.5% ROI
- 65-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 4.56% ROI
Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .122 (35-for-288) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .121 (48-for-397) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .201 (58 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (76-for-449) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Pablo López: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (90/223) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (136/348) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (60/184) against Pablo Lopez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (173/574) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 78-16 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Dodgers are 43-22 (.662) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Dodgers are 123-48 (.719) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Marlins are just 8-29 (.216) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Marlins are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Marlins are just 26-35 (.426) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,347 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (3,446 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .796 (1,475 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,446 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .263 (1,060 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have 770 strikeouts in 2,756 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .282 (2,756 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (2,898 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,613 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have walked 311 of 4,500 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (1556.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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