- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Thursday, September 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Dodgers vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 84-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 64-75 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -105 | +105 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+17.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+15.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 65 away games (+23.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 112 games (+22.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+6.78 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games at home (+6.57 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-61 against the Run Line (+18.8 Units / 11.35% ROI).
- 84-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 79-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.5 Units / 13.44% ROI
- 53-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.15 Units / -21.92% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 64-75 against the Run Line (-25.95 Units / -14.13% ROI).
- 72-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.24% ROI
- 63-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.65 Units / -9.08% ROI
- 70-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.36% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (303/624) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (512/1,063) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has walked 22 of 578 batters (4%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (303/624) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
keys to the game – away
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
keys to the game – home
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D60
- Sandy Alcantara (Marlins): Forearm, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D60
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Huascar Brazoban (Marlins): Hamstring, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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