Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:48 AM
  • The Dodgers (89-38) are -135 favorites vs the Mets (82-47)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (2-1), 1.94 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (10-3), 3.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+110) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 87-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 69-57 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +120O 8.5 -110-135
Mets +1.5 -145U 8.5 -110+110

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 66 away games (+16.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 64 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 76 games (+15.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 30 games (+18.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games at home (+12.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 123 games (+11.18 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+1.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+13.77 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+3.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 77-47 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 18.02% ROI).

  • 87-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 4.19% ROI
  • 51-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.6 Units / -14.36% ROI
  • 64-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 5.49% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 69-57 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 8.36% ROI).

  • 81-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 9.71% ROI
  • 63-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 56-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -9.26% ROI

Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (148 Total Bases / 232 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .444 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has 15 three-pitch strikeouts this month (5 games) — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (21 Total Bases / 30 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .355 — first Percentile.

Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 110 of Taijuan Walker’s 493 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 147 of Taijuan Walker’s 687 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 32% — third Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 62 of Taijuan Walker’s 281 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (116/502) against Taijuan Walker on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 23-81 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 35-3 (.921) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Dodgers are 79-16 (.832) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are 39-5 (.886) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Mets are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Mets are 68-21 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Mets are 28-5 (.848) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .777 (3,358 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,486 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .799 (3,481 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 72% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,422 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .323 (7,486 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Mets hitters have just 679 strikeouts in 3,422 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1298.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.74 (581.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 315 of 4,542 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,631 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have walked 158 of 2,534 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 68 of 1,149 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.