- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 51-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-54 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Mets | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+10.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.50 Units / 70% ROI)
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Julio Urias | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 away games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 47-42 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 6.57% ROI).
- 51-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 51-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.9 Units / 15.17% ROI
- 33-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.3 Units / -22.81% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-54 against the Run Line (-25.15 Units / -21.82% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.95 Units / -19.03% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -15.13% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.15 Units / 6.22% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has allowed an OBP of just .193 (269 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (225/681) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (631/1,468) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 95th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 72% (1,060/1,468) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .247 (955 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .258 (108 Total Bases / 418 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .228 (451 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .487 (452 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .705 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 143-25 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Dodgers are 31-15 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 162-89 (.645) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are just 2-9 (.182) after a loss as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Mets are 125-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 15-15 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .765 (2,958 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 14 double plays in 295 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 123 double plays in 1,814 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,342 strikeouts in 6,683 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,683 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Mets have scored first in 62% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets are just 6-21 (.222) against the run line (-61.0% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 669 of 9,216 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have walked 74 of 785 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Pham (Mets): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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