- The Dodgers are +100 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Watch the game on FOX
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 52-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-55 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | +100 |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -120 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kodai Senga has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tylor Megill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 58% ROI)
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+15.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 48-42 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 7.82% ROI).
- 52-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 51-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.7 Units / 13.78% ROI
- 34-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.3 Units / -21.57% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-55 against the Run Line (-26.75 Units / -22.89% ROI).
- 42-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.95 Units / -19.67% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -16.14% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 7.15% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .248 (102-for-411) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .567 (783 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (47-for-254) against Tony Gonsolin versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .228 (29-for-127) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (290/572) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (116/229) against Kodai Senga on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Kodai Senga’s pitches (245/457) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .099 (17-for-172) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 144-25 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers are 162-75 (.684) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Dodgers are 57-25 (.695) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Dodgers are 26-12 (.684) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are just 2-10 (.167) after a loss as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Mets are just 15-15 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Mets are just 28-15 (.651) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 4-21 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 180 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Dodgers hitters have 327 extra-base hits out of 740 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,167 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets are batting just .231 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets are batting just .226 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .698 (1,436 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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