- The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 53-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-56 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+14.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+14.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 59% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 49-42 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 8.61% ROI).
- 53-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4% ROI
- 51-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.7 Units / 12.65% ROI
- 35-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.3 Units / -20.31% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-56 against the Run Line (-27.75 Units / -23.55% ROI).
- 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.15 Units / -20.42% ROI
- 38-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -16.97% ROI
- 50-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 8.06% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has thrown 131 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 89th Percentile.
33% of Bobby Miller’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed an OPS of 1.417 (25 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 30 days (4 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .732 — fourth Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has walked 5 of 21 left-handed batters (24%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to June 7th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/28) against Max Scherzer — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 7% (1/14) against Max Scherzer — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 31-15 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 26-12 (.684) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Dodgers are 57-25 (.695) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Dodgers are 164-89 (.648) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are just 2-11 (.154) after a loss as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Mets are 125-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mets are just 15-15 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Mets are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 180 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 124 double plays in 1,834 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 571 total hits (43%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (4,863 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,167 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters have just 607 strikeouts in 2,953 PA’s (21%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have just 1,348 strikeouts in 6,711 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% against Mets pitchers over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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