Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Mets
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (7-3), 2.63 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (11-7), 3.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 88-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 70-58 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +125O 7.5 -120-135
Mets +1.5 -155U 7.5 +100+115

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 67 away games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 77 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Darin Ruf 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1200
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
James McCann 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Darin Ruf 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
James McCann 0.5 -140 0.5 -105

Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Darin Ruf 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
James McCann 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clayton Kershaw 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
Chris Bassitt 5.5 +120 5.5 -165
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 125 games (+9.18 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 131 games (+15.77 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 78-48 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 17.71% ROI).

  • 88-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 4.16% ROI
  • 51-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -22 Units / -15.84% ROI
  • 66-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 6.86% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-58 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 8.23% ROI).

  • 82-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 9.58% ROI
  • 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.81% ROI
  • 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.7% ROI

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 66% of the time (411/623) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (107/277) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (276/623) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .177 (237 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (72/422) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (57/331) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .263 (350 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 88th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/169) against Chris Bassitt on breaking pitches since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 23-82 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Dodgers are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Dodgers are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are 72-3 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mets are 39-6 (.867) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Mets are 28-6 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Mets are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (3,551 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,381 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,509 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.

The Mets have scored first in 72% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,436 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .268 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .221.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,543 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1315.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (6,684 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (598.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.