- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (7-3), 2.63 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (11-7), 3.33 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Dodgers vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 88-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 70-58 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -120 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 +100 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+15.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 67 away games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 51 of his last 77 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 31 games (+19.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 125 games (+9.18 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 131 games (+15.77 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 78-48 against the Run Line (+26.9 Units / 17.71% ROI).
- 88-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 4.16% ROI
- 51-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -22 Units / -15.84% ROI
- 66-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 6.86% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-58 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 8.23% ROI).
- 82-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.3 Units / 9.58% ROI
- 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.7% ROI
Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 66% of the time (411/623) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (107/277) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (276/623) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .177 (237 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (72/422) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (57/331) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .263 (350 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 88th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (27/169) against Chris Bassitt on breaking pitches since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Dodgers are 23-82 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Dodgers are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Dodgers are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 72-3 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mets are 39-6 (.867) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Mets are 28-6 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Mets are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (3,551 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,381 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,509 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 72% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have just 680 strikeouts in 3,436 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .268 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,543 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (1315.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (6,684 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (598.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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