- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: George Sheehan
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Friday, September 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Dodgers vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 85-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 76-64 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -110 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -110 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+14.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jake Alu has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 85% ROI)
Nationals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -175 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Nationals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Emmet Sheehan | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 66 away games (+24.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 113 games (+24.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.18 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+13.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 134 games (+7.05 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.84 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 78-61 against the Run Line (+20.15 Units / 12.09% ROI).
- 85-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 1.87% ROI
- 80-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.5 Units / 14% ROI
- 53-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.3 Units / -22.51% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-64 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 1.73% ROI).
- 63-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.2 Units / 14.15% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -5.13% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -3.25% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emmet Sheehan has limited playing time.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has walked 33 of 254 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has an average spin rate of 1972.4 RPM on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 2399.7 — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 22 of 162 batters (14%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (63/175) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 173-27 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are 73-7 (.912) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 37-16 (.698) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 70-35 (.667) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 36-63 (.364) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Nationals are just 56-96 (.368) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 36-157 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Nationals are just 24-41 (.369) after a road win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 17 double plays in 352 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (8,357 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .797 (3,848 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .889 (998 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.104.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Nationals hitters have just 987 strikeouts in 5,255 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 706 strikeouts in 3,630 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Dodgers pitchers have walked 397 of 5,171 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 804 of 11,036 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D60
- Riley Adams (Nationals): Wrist, D10
- Lane Thomas (Nationals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Markus Betts (Dodgers): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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