- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+180) on Saturday, September 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 86-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 76-65 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | O 9.5 -115 | -225 |
| Nationals | +2.5 -135 | U 9.5 -105 | +180 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 83.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+16.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jake Alu has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 70% ROI)
Nationals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jacob Young | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jacob Young | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Nationals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jacob Young | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jake Irvin | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 67 away games (+25.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 114 games (+25.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.18 Units / 25% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+12.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 135 games (+5.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.39 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 79-61 against the Run Line (+21.2 Units / 12.64% ROI).
- 86-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 81-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +22.5 Units / 14.54% ROI
- 53-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.4 Units / -23.06% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-65 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 0.99% ROI).
- 63-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.2 Units / 13.36% ROI
- 67-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 67-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -3.95% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .158 against Bobby Miller this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has averaged 98.9 MPH on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .196 (36-for-184) against Bobby Miller this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 95th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (96/440) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 41% (361/878) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (105/602) against Jake Irvin in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (56/343) against Jake Irvin this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 173-27 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are 37-17 (.685) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Dodgers are 73-7 (.912) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Dodgers are 37-16 (.698) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 36-63 (.364) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Nationals are just 112-160 (.412) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 56-97 (.366) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 36-157 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 17 double plays in 352 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,573 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Dodgers hitters have 153 extra-base hits out of 346 total hits (44%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have scored 490 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have just 996 strikeouts in 5,289 PA’s (19%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 708 strikeouts in 3,638 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 685 strikeouts in 3,598 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Dodgers pitchers have walked 805 of 11,070 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1313.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D60
- Riley Adams (Nationals): Wrist, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Markus Betts (Dodgers): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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