- The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: George Sheehan
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 53-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 55-37 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -105 | +100 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -115 | -120 |
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.60 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Wells has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Orioles vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Emmet Sheehan | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 88 games (+15.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+14.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+18.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 50-42 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 9.36% ROI).
- 53-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 51-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.5 Units / 11.32% ROI
- 36-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.3 Units / -19.12% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 55-37 against the Run Line (+17.35 Units / 14.82% ROI).
- 57-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.45 Units / 17.61% ROI
- 46-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 38-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -12.46% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (6/43) against Emmet Sheehan over the last 30 days (3 games) — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .350 (7-for-20) against Emmet Sheehan over the last 30 days (1 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 10th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Emmet Sheehan’s pitches (135/255) over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 90th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .705 (31 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has an ERA of 7.35 (45.1 IP)this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 4.26 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (71/134) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .582 (110 Total Bases / 189 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Dodgers are 31-15 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 78-49 (.614) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 45-5 (.900) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Dodgers are 164-89 (.648) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Orioles are 11-5 (.688) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a road loss since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Orioles are 20-7 (.741) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Orioles are 22-13 (.629) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 180 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,004 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 124 double plays in 1,842 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Dodgers have scored 407 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .401 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Orioles are 154-97 (.611) against the run line (13.9% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are batting just .160 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Orioles hitters are slugging .642 with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 674 of 9,312 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 267 of 3,447 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 42% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,292 batted balls) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Orioles vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Cionel Pérez (Orioles): Forearm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Miller (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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