- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Watch the game on TBS
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Dodgers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 54-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 55-38 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -110 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -110 | -125 |
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.80 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+9.05 Units / 151% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Orioles vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+16.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 80 games (+16.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 51-42 against the Run Line (+11.8 Units / 10.62% ROI).
- 54-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -3.94% ROI
- 52-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.5 Units / 12.17% ROI
- 36-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.35 Units / -19.95% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 55-38 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 13.22% ROI).
- 57-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.35 Units / 16.5% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 5.3% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -13.36% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 74% (17/23) against Michael Grove on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 53% — first Percentile.
Michael Grove has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (450/790) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
34 of Michael Grove’s 43 strikeouts (79%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .333 (20 GB hits out of 60 GBs) against Michael Grove this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .243 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .241 (406 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .179 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .247 (235 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .193 (73-for-379) against Tyler Wells this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Dodgers are 146-26 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers are 27-12 (.692) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Dodgers are 32-15 (.681) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 46-6 (.885) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Orioles are 55-26 (.679) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Orioles are 22-13 (.629) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 20-7 (.741) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Orioles are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 14 double plays in 303 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 105 walks in 926 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles are batting .400 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .677 with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 678 of 9,348 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Orioles have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Miller (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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