- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+115) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Orioles Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 55-39 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | O 12 -350 | -140 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -135 | U 12 +260 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+11.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Julio Urias | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+17.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 68 games (+16.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+15.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+19.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+15.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 52-42 against the Run Line (+12.8 Units / 11.34% ROI).
- 55-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -3.21% ROI
- 53-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.5 Units / 13% ROI
- 36-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.45 Units / -20.81% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 55-39 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 12.28% ROI).
- 57-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.1 Units / 15.27% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 6.21% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -14.27% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just .000 (0/12) against Julio Urias — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (228/692) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (155/527) against Julio Urias against right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has allowed an OBP of just .040 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .244 — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (50 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .302 (55-for-182) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .271 (111-for-409) against Dean Kremer this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (110/309) against Dean Kremer this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 14th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Dodgers are 147-26 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Dodgers are 166-90 (.648) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 27-12 (.692) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Orioles are 102-6 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Orioles are 20-8 (.714) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Orioles are 11-5 (.688) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Orioles are 16-12 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 91 extra-base hits out of 187 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,033 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters have 246 extra-base hits out of 578 total hits (43%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 111 walks in 956 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .402 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Orioles hitters are slugging .941 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Orioles hitters have 575 extra-base hits out of 1,526 total hits (38%) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Orioles have scored first in just 40% of their road games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 681 of 9,386 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (1140.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Miller (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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