- The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 40-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 36-29 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 3-2, 5.17 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 1-5, 4.77 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +154 | O 8.5 -120 | -110 |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 +100 | -110 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 30-36 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -8.97% ROI).
- 40-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 11.86% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -19.42% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-29 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 4.5% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 26-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -20.13% ROI
- 37-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 10.98% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (24 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (13 Total Bases / 13 ABs) this month (1 game) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 8% (1/13) against Landon Knack this month (1 game) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Landon Knack has allowed an OPS of 1.500 (20 PA’s) this month (1 game) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .707 — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 57% of the time (132/232) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (138/232) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 36% (289/799) against Dylan Cease in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .163 (41-for-252) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 195-38 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 20-6 (.769) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-17 (.292) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres are 77-52 (.597) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 22-14 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,459 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (8,862 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .349 (1,888 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers allowed 3.86 runs per game (313/81) at home in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
More MLB Reading:
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