Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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  • The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Padres
  • Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+118) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Dodgers are 53-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 43-36 ATS.

Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Emmet Sheehan 3-5, 5.41 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 5-6, 3.32 ERA

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +120O 8 -115-145
Padres +1.5 -145U 8 -105+118

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+19.30 Units / 322% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+30.00 Units / 500% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+6.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games at home (+4.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 39-44 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -6.89% ROI).

  • 53-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -2.96% ROI
  • 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -10.54% ROI
  • 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.21% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 43-36 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 1.45% ROI).

  • 43-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 2.45% ROI
  • 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -12.57% ROI
  • 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 4.16% ROI

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +240
Max Muncy +333
Freddie Freeman +400
Mookie Betts +425
Gavin Sheets +425

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Andy Pages 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Tommy Edman 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Freeland 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andy Pages 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Max Muncy 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 27-16 (.628) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 25-4 (.862) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Dodgers are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .753.

The Dodgers are 22-5 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .942.

The Padres are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 28-2 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,765 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .277 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (3,208 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .813 (2,343 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .662 (2,966 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .646 (707 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .627 (1,714 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,966 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .285 (2,977 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .213 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have 138 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.