Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 18

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  • The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Padres
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The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+130) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Dodgers are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 25-20 ATS.

Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3-3, 3.63 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-2, 2.62 ERA

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +110O 7.5 -110-155
Padres +1.5 -130U 7.5 -110+130

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.45 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+19.90 Units / 199% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 away games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 24-23 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.54% ROI).

  • 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -7.97% ROI
  • 21-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -14.92% ROI
  • 26-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 5.83% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 25-20 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 3.94% ROI).

  • 28-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 13.83% ROI
  • 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 4.14% ROI

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +270
Max Muncy +390
Andy Pages +475
Kyle Tucker +475
Freddie Freeman +525

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Mookie Betts 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 5.5 -175 5.5 +130
Michael King 5.5 +110 5.5 -150

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 29-18 (.617) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Dodgers are 18-10 (.643) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 4-18 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Padres are 17-1 (.944) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Padres are 22-4 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Padres are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .464 on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .289 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .369 (910 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .833 (910 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .271 (997 PA’s) with bases empty this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,690 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .280 (329 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .275 (965 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (190.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 206 times this season — fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Padres pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.