Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 14, NLDS

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Padres
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin, ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell, 5.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+100) on Friday, October 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:37pm EDT in San Diego for this postseason game.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 112-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 76-91 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +140O 7 +100-120
Padres +1.5 -165U 7 -120+100

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 40 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 31 away games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 51 away games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 80 away games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games at home (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games at home (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Josh Bell 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Juan Soto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Josh Bell 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Juan Soto 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Juan Soto 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
Tony Gonsolin 3.5 +125 3.5 -185
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 161 games (+27.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 91 games (+17.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 69 away games (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games at home (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 98-66 against the Run Line (+26.25 Units / 13.19% ROI).

  • 112-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 1.53% ROI
  • 69-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.65 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 84-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 4.29% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 76-91 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -10.28% ROI).

  • 92-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -4.37% ROI
  • 79-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.38% ROI
  • 83-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.06% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .122 (49-for-402) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .123 (36-for-293) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .207 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .369 (310 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .636 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 107 of 880 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (107/193) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 7 of 41 batters (17%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 10 of 60 batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 81-4 (.953) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 71-7 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Padres are 46-37 (.554) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Padres are just 8-151 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,136 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

24% of Padres hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .363 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Padres are batting just .230 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.26 runs per game (528/162) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Padres pitchers have walked 11 of 71 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres pitchers have walked 10 of 53 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Amaya (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.