- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin, – ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell, 5.40 ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+100) on Friday, October 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:37pm EDT in San Diego for this postseason game.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 112-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 76-91 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | O 7 +100 | -120 |
| Padres | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -120 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 40 away games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 31 away games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 51 away games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 80 away games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games at home (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games at home (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 161 games (+27.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 91 games (+17.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 69 away games (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games at home (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 98-66 against the Run Line (+26.25 Units / 13.19% ROI).
- 112-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 1.53% ROI
- 69-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.65 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 84-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 4.29% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 76-91 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -10.28% ROI).
- 92-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 79-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.38% ROI
- 83-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.06% ROI
Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .122 (49-for-402) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .123 (36-for-293) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .207 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .369 (310 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .636 — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 107 of 880 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (107/193) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 7 of 41 batters (17%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 10 of 60 batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 81-4 (.953) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 71-7 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Padres are 46-37 (.554) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Padres are just 8-151 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,136 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
24% of Padres hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .363 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Padres are batting just .230 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.26 runs per game (528/162) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 11 of 71 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have walked 10 of 53 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Amaya (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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