- The Dodgers (94-43) are -145 favorites vs the Padres (77-62)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (15-7), 2.28 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (6-8), 3.72 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 92-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 60-75 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Padres | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 48 of his last 69 away games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 85 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Azocar | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Julio Urias | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 82-51 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 17.47% ROI).
- 92-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 3.42% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 2.8% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 60-75 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -11.58% ROI).
- 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.83% ROI
Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (868/1,195) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .199 (83-for-418) against Julio Urias this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 90th Percentile.
Julio Urias has allowed an OBP of just .250 (572 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 96th Percentile.
Julio Urias has walked 7 of 46 batters (15%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 43 of 253 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 55% (67 SO in 122 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 48 of 286 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 93 of 768 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 38-3 (.927) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Dodgers are 84-17 (.832) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 127-50 (.718) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Dodgers are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Padres are 27-7 (.794) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Padres are 62-20 (.756) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are 39-33 (.542) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (3,771 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,452 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (8,184 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .328 (2,866 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have drawn 348 walks in 3,629 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1323.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,858 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Padres pitchers this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Padres have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Brandon Drury (Padres): Head, D7
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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