Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (94-43) are -145 favorites vs the Padres (77-62)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (15-7), 2.28 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (6-8), 3.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 92-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 60-75 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +115O 8 -115-145
Padres +1.5 -140U 8 -105+120

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 48 of his last 69 away games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 85 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jose Azocar 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Josh Bell 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Jose Azocar 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Josh Bell 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jose Azocar 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Josh Bell 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 7.5 +105 7.5 -150
Julio Urias 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 82-51 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 17.47% ROI).

  • 92-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 3.42% ROI
  • 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -11.6% ROI
  • 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 2.8% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 60-75 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
  • 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.83% ROI

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (868/1,195) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .199 (83-for-418) against Julio Urias this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 90th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an OBP of just .250 (572 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 96th Percentile.

Julio Urias has walked 7 of 46 batters (15%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 43 of 253 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 55% (67 SO in 122 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 48 of 286 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 93 of 768 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 38-3 (.927) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Dodgers are 84-17 (.832) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Dodgers are 127-50 (.718) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Dodgers are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Padres are 27-7 (.794) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Padres are 62-20 (.756) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Padres are 39-33 (.542) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (3,771 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,452 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (8,184 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .328 (2,866 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters have drawn 348 walks in 3,629 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1323.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,858 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Padres pitchers this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Padres have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Padres have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
  • Brandon Drury (Padres): Head, D7
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.