- The Dodgers (106-47) are -110 favorites vs the Padres (85-68)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (15-4), 2.52 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (8-9), 3.61 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSD
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 106-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 68-85 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 away games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 away games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 77 away games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -160 |
| Tyler Anderson | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 150 games (+30.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 80 games (+23.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 away games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 away games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 65 of their last 128 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games at home (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 93-60 against the Run Line (+28.65 Units / 15.51% ROI).
- 106-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -11.74% ROI
- 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 3.11% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -12.13% ROI).
- 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.21% ROI
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (756/1,249) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH this season (465 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Tyler Anderson has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 21.2.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (172/666) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 44 of 263 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 98 of 829 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 71% (20 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an OBP of just .140 (43 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .296 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 95-17 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Dodgers are 53-21 (.716) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Dodgers are 77-4 (.951) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 21-2 (.913) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres are 69-22 (.758) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Padres are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Padres are 30-9 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (4,235 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,235 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 69 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .538 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .327 (3,220 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.28 runs per game (522/159) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1674.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 81 of 1,366 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Padres pitchers this month (21 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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