Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 27, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (106-47) are -110 favorites vs the Padres (85-68)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (15-4), 2.52 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (8-9), 3.61 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Tuesday, September 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 106-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 68-85 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +150O 7.5 -105-110
Padres +1.5 -185U 7.5 -115-110

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 away games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 away games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 77 away games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 58 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Brandon Drury 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Josh Bell 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Brandon Drury 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Josh Bell 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Brandon Drury 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 7.5 +110 7.5 -160
Tyler Anderson 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 150 games (+30.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 80 games (+23.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 away games (+9.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 away games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 65 of their last 128 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games at home (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 93-60 against the Run Line (+28.65 Units / 15.51% ROI).

  • 106-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 3.86% ROI
  • 65-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -11.74% ROI
  • 77-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 3.11% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 68-85 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -12.13% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -4.27% ROI
  • 72-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -7.12% ROI
  • 77-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.21% ROI

Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (756/1,249) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH this season (465 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Tyler Anderson has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 21.2.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (172/666) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 44 of 263 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 98 of 829 right-handed batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strikeout rate of 71% (20 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed an OBP of just .140 (43 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .296 — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 95-17 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Dodgers are 53-21 (.716) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Dodgers are 77-4 (.951) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 21-2 (.913) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Padres are 69-22 (.758) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Padres are 30-9 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (4,235 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,235 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Dodgers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 69 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .538 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .327 (3,220 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.28 runs per game (522/159) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1674.1 IP) on the road since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

Padres pitchers have walked 81 of 1,366 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Padres pitchers this month (21 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.