Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (94-42) are -165 favorites vs the Padres (76-62)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May (1-2), 3.93 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (5-6), 3.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+135) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 92-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 60-75 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -105O 8.5 -105-165
Padres +1.5 -115U 8.5 -115+135

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 48 of his last 69 away games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 85 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Josh Bell 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Juan Soto 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Josh Bell 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Juan Soto 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Josh Bell 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Juan Soto 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Clevinger 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
May 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 132 games (+11.78 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 82-51 against the Run Line (+27.95 Units / 17.47% ROI).

  • 92-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 3.42% ROI
  • 56-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -11.6% ROI
  • 66-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 2.8% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 60-75 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
  • 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.83% ROI

Dustin May has allowed an OBP of .440 (25 PA’s) this month (1 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .296 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (3/15) against Dustin May with two-strikes this month (1 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 40% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (4/16) against Dustin May — tied for 11th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (9/29) against Dustin May on pitches in the strike zone this month (1 games) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 17% — 95th Percentile.

Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .258 (42-for-163) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .210 (13-for-62) against Mike Clevinger when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 98th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to August 23rd — the longest active streak is 4.

Mike Clevinger has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 3 double plays in 63 opportunities (5%) this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 11% — sixth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 48-18 (.727) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Dodgers are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 127-50 (.718) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Dodgers are 23-85 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Padres are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Padres are 60-6 (.909) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Padres are 24-9 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Dodgers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,452 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (3,771 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Padres hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .328 (2,866 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (1323.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (3,143 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.74 (606.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.4

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Padres pitchers this month (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers have walked 75 of 1,231 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Juan Soto (Padres): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
  • Brandon Drury (Padres): Head, D7
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Gallo (Dodgers): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.