- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Phillies
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Dodgers vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 25-38 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -120 | -115 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -175 | U 9 +100 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+19.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+17.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+13.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 49 games (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 46 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 35-29 against the Run Line (+8.25 Units / 10.88% ROI).
- 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 12.46% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -19.9% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 25-38 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -24.68% ROI).
- 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -11.07% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 5.24% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed an OPS of just .353 (44 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Bobby Miller — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — 97th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .050 (1 Total Bases / 20 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .392 — 97th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.1 innings pitched — the longest active streak is 17.1.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (83/235) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed at least one HR in each of his last nine games dating back to April 21st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (28/86) against Aaron Nola this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 14th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 50% (12 SO in 24 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers were 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers were 110-45 (.710) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Dodgers were 20-23 (.465) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Dodgers were 82-4 (.953) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies were 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Phillies were 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies were 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Phillies were 72-25 (.742) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 239 extra-base hits out of 522 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (2,669 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Dodgers hitters have 72 extra-base hits out of 137 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .484 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .293 (746 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Phillies are batting .262 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies are batting .286 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 178 of 2,387 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.76 (845.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 585 of 8,252 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 26 double plays in 414 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 135 of 1,980 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,519 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Barnes (Dodgers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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