- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Phillies
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- Watch the game on NBC 10
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Dodgers vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 24-38 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -115 | -115 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -105 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+18.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+16.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 71% ROI)
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 35-28 against the Run Line (+9.25 Units / 12.37% ROI).
- 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 36-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 12.67% ROI
- 25-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -14 Units / -20.2% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 24-38 against the Run Line (-21.05 Units / -26.44% ROI).
- 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -12.36% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -13.02% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 5.32% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 15th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 9.
Ranger Suarez had a strike rate of just 57% (68/119) in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez located 57% of his pitches down (381/664) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,492/2,446) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .169 — second Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has an average spin rate of 1893.8 RPM on fastballs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 2226.6 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (308/554) against Ranger Suarez since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Dodgers are 8-2 (.800) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Dodgers are 70-44 (.614) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Dodgers are 130-25 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Phillies are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Phillies are 38-22 (.633) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Phillies are 55-29 (.655) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,655 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (6,302 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (6,302 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have drawn 43 walks in 736 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .295 (736 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Phillies hitters are slugging .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 583 of 8,215 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 26 double plays in 409 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (118.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.8).
Phillies pitchers have walked 133 of 1,971 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Barnes (Dodgers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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