- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: TBS | HBOM
The Los Angeles Dodgers (105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:38pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 95-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 81-80 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 1-1, 2.88 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 13-5, 2.50 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 170 | O 7 100 | 105 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -225 | U 7 -120 | -125 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.20 Units / 224% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.95 Units / 74% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+19.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 113 games (+18.86 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 81 games at home (+14.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 48 games at home (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 74-89 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -7.31% ROI).
- 95-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 78-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 78-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -3.65% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 81-80 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.18% ROI).
- 96-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 2.35% ROI
- 71-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -9.96% ROI
- 81-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 1.77% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +125 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .474 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (4,478 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .441 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Phillies are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
Dodgers hitters are slugging .474 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (4,478 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .441 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Phillies are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .474 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (4,478 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .441 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Phillies are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .474 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (4,478 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .441 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (3,038 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Phillies are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
More MLB Reading:
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