- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Pirates
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Dodgers vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 14-9 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.60 Units / 82% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ji-wan Bae has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 78% ROI)
Pirates vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Pirates vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 11-12 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -3.5% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -17.26% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.56% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -12.16% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 13.49% ROI).
- 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 49.8% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -19.72% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 13.14% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 36 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 29 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Noah Syndergaard in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (19/37) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 2 of 55 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 92nd Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 6 of 48 right-handed batters (12%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (17/129) against Johan Oviedo on breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Dodgers are 31-20 (.608) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Dodgers are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are 7-6 (.538) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Pirates are just 8-82 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting just .174 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,173 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (5,158 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Pirates are batting just .225 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have allowed 3.25 runs per game (299/92) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1529.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (812.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 58 of 855 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 670 of 7,115 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,276 of 13,255 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
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