- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Pirates
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+130) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 15-9 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -155 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +130 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.60 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
Pirates vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Pirates vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roansy Contreras | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 11-13 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -7.12% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 8.14% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -15.47% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 15-9 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 15.94% ROI).
- 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 43.9% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -15.02% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 8.87% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .123 (36-for-293) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .172 (79-for-458) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .237 (498 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (59/151) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roansy Contreras has not struck out any hitters in 21 PA’s in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have not swung and missed (0/26) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has thrown his slider 69% of the time (63/91) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total SL; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has thrown breaking pitches 82% of the time (75/91) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 32-20 (.615) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Dodgers are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are 7-6 (.538) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Pirates are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Pirates are just 8-82 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Pirates are just 67-9 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting just .172 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .767 (2,187 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,197 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters have 86 extra-base hits out of 181 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .368 (243 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have allowed 3.29 runs per game (306/93) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (821.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 674 of 7,157 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,280 of 13,297 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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