- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Friday, July 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Dodgers vs Rangers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 58-39 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -105 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -115 | -125 |
Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
Rangers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcus Semien | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Rangers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonsolin | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Andrew Heaney | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -165 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+18.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+16.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+15.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 89 games (+25.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+25.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 89 games (+25.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 52-43 against the Run Line (+11.8 Units / 10.36% ROI).
- 55-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -4.08% ROI
- 54-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.5 Units / 13.82% ROI
- 36-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.6 Units / -21.68% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 58-39 against the Run Line (+21.8 Units / 18.33% ROI).
- 58-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 5.94% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.81% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -11.19% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .221 (30-for-136) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (131-for-723) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .566 (799 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .245 (103-for-420) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .160 (16-for-100) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (87 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (83 Total Bases / 183 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .308 — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OPS of 1.108 (41 PA’s) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .716 — third Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Dodgers are 12-4 (.750) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Dodgers are 60-30 (.667) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Dodgers are 32-15 (.681) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 40-23 (.635) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Rangers are just 107-17 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 5-102 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Rangers are 21-10 (.677) after a home win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Rangers are 23-16 (.590) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,043 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
The Dodgers have scored 1.60 runs per game (412/257) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 304 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .590 (1,996 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .360 (978 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .828 (978 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters are slugging .468 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 685 of 9,423 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 206 of 2,303 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 2 of 79 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee/Back, Day-to-Day
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Miller (Dodgers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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