- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Rangers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 56-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 58-40 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -120 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 +100 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Rangers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 92 games (+19.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+16.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 90 games (+25.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 90 games (+24.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 90 games (+24.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+18.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+11.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 53-43 against the Run Line (+12.8 Units / 11.07% ROI).
- 56-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -3.32% ROI
- 55-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.5 Units / 14.63% ROI
- 36-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.75 Units / -22.53% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 58-40 against the Run Line (+20.8 Units / 17.34% ROI).
- 58-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 4.97% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.71% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -12.14% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
32% of Bobby Miller’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has thrown 133 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 9th most among pitchers in MLB — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Bobby Miller with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .257 — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 31% (5/16) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 32% (63 SO in 195 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 56% (574/1,034) on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .191 (115 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Dodgers are 41-23 (.641) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Dodgers are 3-2 (.600) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Dodgers are 61-30 (.670) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Dodgers are 28-12 (.700) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Rangers are just 1-28 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 107-17 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are just 56-43 (.566) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are 17-11 (.607) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 93 extra-base hits out of 194 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .767 (3,063 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 683 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 585 total hits (42%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .592 (2,016 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .361 (990 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rangers hitters are slugging .300 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 693 of 9,459 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (2303.2 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 280 of 3,599 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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