- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: George Sheehan
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+100) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Dodgers vs Rangers Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 57-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 58-41 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | O 10 -115 | -120 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 10 -105 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.75 Units / 98% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+8.80 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 58% ROI)
Rangers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Emmet Sheehan | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Martin Perez | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 93 games (+20.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+18.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+17.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 91 games (+22.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+19.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 91 games (+10.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 91 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-43 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 11.96% ROI).
- 57-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 56-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.5 Units / 15.43% ROI
- 36-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -23.41% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 58-41 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 16.03% ROI).
- 58-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 51-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.59% ROI
- 42-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -13.11% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emmet Sheehan has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.267 (19 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .632 — fourth Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (44/85) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 62% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 47% (28/60) against Emmet Sheehan with two-strikes over the last 30 days (4 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 91st Percentile.
Emmet Sheehan has allowed an OPS of 1.855 (17 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 1.096 — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (30/237) against Martin Perez this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased 138 of Martin Perez’s 306 off-speed pitches out of the zone (45%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .170 (39-for-230) against Martin Perez’s inside fastball since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Dodgers are 3-2 (.600) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Dodgers are 148-26 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers are 28-12 (.700) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Dodgers are 61-30 (.670) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Rangers are just 0-34 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 1-115 (.009) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rangers are 17-11 (.607) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Rangers were just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,078 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Dodgers hitters have 93 extra-base hits out of 194 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 130 double plays in 1,898 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .832 (990 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters are slugging .313 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .587 (2,035 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Rangers hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 694 of 9,497 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.79 (396.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
The Rangers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 209 of 2,321 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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