- The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Dodgers vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | SNLA | WTOG | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+110) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 63-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 50-58 ATS.
Dodgers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 4-2, 3.64 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 8-7, 4.62 ERA
Dodgers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -118 | -130 |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -102 | +110 |
Dodgers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Clayton Kershaw has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+14.60 Units / 209% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 51 away games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+14.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 93 games (+13.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 62 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 46-62 against the Run Line (-17.7 Units / -13.75% ROI).
- 63-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -8.1% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 50-58 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 54-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.27 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 44-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.4 Units / -19.2% ROI
- 61-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.25 Units / 11.02% ROI
Rays vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Rays vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rays vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
14 of Clayton Kershaw’s 34 breaking pitch strikeouts (41%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has an average fastball velocity of just 89.1 MPH this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 93.9 — third Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (542/942) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has a strike rate of just 62% (449/726) against right-handed batters this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .293 (29-for-99) against Shane Baz’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — second Percentile.
Shane Baz has an ERA of 6.33 (58.1 IP) at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.35 — first Percentile.
Shane Baz has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (fourth highest)– 95th Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (fifth lowest among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Shane Baz has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Dodgers are 21-7 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 28-25 (.528) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Dodgers are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 161-110 (.594) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Rays are 16-172 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 4-45 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 42-5 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Rays are just 43-7 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .803 (5,132 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .479 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .259 (2,190 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 37% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 88 double plays in 701 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers over the last 14 days — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
