- The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Dodgers vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 31-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 32-21 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Dodgers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rays vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Rays vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Rays vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
| Tyler Glasnow | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games (+18.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 15.1% ROI).
- 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 8.71% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -16.55% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 21.39% ROI).
- 38-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.65 Units / 21.13% ROI
- 32-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.8 Units / 20.15% ROI
- 18-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.45 Units / -30.06% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (334/562) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (250/403) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (90/155) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Dodgers are 25-12 (.676) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Dodgers are 36-21 (.632) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Dodgers are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Dodgers are just 3-7 (.300) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Rays are 25-5 (.833) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rays are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Rays are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Rays are 38-15 (.717) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,529 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Dodgers hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 412 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .592 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .964 (372 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Rays hitters are slugging .501 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rays hitters are slugging .541 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 552 of 7,794 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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