Dodgers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 27, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Rays
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Dodgers vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 31-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 32-21 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +155O 8 -115-105
Rays +1.5 -190U 8 -105-115

Dodgers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Dodgers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Siri has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Francisco Mejia has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Rays vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Will Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jose Siri 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Rays vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Will Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Jose Siri 0.5 +115 0.5 -155

Rays vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Will Smith 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Jose Siri 0.5 +310 0.5 -450

Rays vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clayton Kershaw 6.5 +115 6.5 -155
Tyler Glasnow 6.5 +115 6.5 -150
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games (+18.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 15.1% ROI).

  • 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 8.71% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -16.55% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 21.39% ROI).

  • 38-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.65 Units / 21.13% ROI
  • 32-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.8 Units / 20.15% ROI
  • 18-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.45 Units / -30.06% ROI

12 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 59% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (334/562) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (250/403) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (90/155) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Dodgers are 25-12 (.676) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.

The Dodgers are 36-21 (.632) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Dodgers are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Dodgers are just 3-7 (.300) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rays are 25-5 (.833) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Rays are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Rays are 38-15 (.717) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,529 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Dodgers hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 412 total hits (46%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rays hitters are slugging .592 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .964 (372 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Rays hitters are slugging .501 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Rays hitters are slugging .541 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 552 of 7,794 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
  • Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.