- The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+110) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Dodgers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 78-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 66-62 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | O 10 -105 | -130 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -145 | U 10 -115 | +110 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+14.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+12.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+12.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Red Sox vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 100 games (+20.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 away games (+18.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.24 Units / 41% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-56 against the Run Line (+16.55 Units / 10.92% ROI).
- 78-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 70-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.9 Units / 10.7% ROI
- 50-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.25 Units / -19% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (-3.4 Units / -2.04% ROI).
- 68-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.68% ROI
- 64-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.29% ROI
- 58-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -9.31% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .212 vs right-handed batters (tied for 14th best)– 89th Percentile and .306 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has an ERA of 5.47 (144.2 IP)this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.92 — fifth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of .366 (306 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .494 (129 Total Bases / 261 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fifth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Winckowski has a strikeout rate of just 35% (107 SO in 308 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .310 (49-for-158) against Josh Winckowski this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fifth Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .857 (333 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .659 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .211 (59-for-280) against Josh Winckowski with two-strikes since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .155 — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Dodgers are 166-26 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Dodgers are 66-6 (.917) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 34-14 (.708) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 19-72 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Red Sox are 55-2 (.965) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Red Sox are 21-9 (.700) after a home win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Red Sox are 21-14 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Red Sox are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .298 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Red Sox are batting .315 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,267 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .374 (571 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 369 of 4,847 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 78 of 1,133 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (954.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D10
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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