- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Caleb Ferguson
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Dodgers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 79-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 67-63 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -105 | -120 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 -115 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+15.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+13.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Red Sox vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Heyward | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Heyward | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Heyward | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Ferguson | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 102 games (+20.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 62 away games (+20.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.24 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 71-57 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 10.94% ROI).
- 79-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 72-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.9 Units / 11.95% ROI
- 50-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.5 Units / -20.3% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 67-63 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- 69-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 2.68% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -10.75% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Caleb Ferguson has allowed an OBP of .283 (120 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — seventh Percentile.
Caleb Ferguson has walked 4 of 78 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Caleb Ferguson has walked 16 of 137 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — ninth Percentile.
Caleb Ferguson has allowed an OBP of .358 (215 PA’s) this season — 9th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .308 — ninth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (112/213) against Tanner Houck this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .186 (8-for-43) against Tanner Houck on low fastballs this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has located his fastballs down 43% of the time (187/436) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (26 Total Bases / 88 ABs) on sliders this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 91st Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Dodgers are 35-15 (.700) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 67-6 (.918) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 167-26 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are 67-32 (.677) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Red Sox are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Red Sox are 55-8 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Red Sox are just 14-18 (.438) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Red Sox are 43-27 (.614) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Dodgers have scored 472 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.
Dodgers hitters have 138 extra-base hits out of 300 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,433 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .375 (590 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Red Sox are batting .299 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Red Sox are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (2591.0 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 12 of 114 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox have have still managed to win 34% of the time this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 23% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kaleb Ort (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Red Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Brennan Bernardino (Red Sox): COVID-19, D15
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Rafael Devers (Red Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Jarren Duran (Red Sox): Toe, D10
- Joely Rodríguez (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Dodgers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
