- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Dodgers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 61-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 57-48 ATS.
Dodgers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 8-7, 2.57 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 0-2, 6.55 ERA
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -105 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -115 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+8.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+7.85 Units / 98% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+11.80 Units / 148% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+20.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 45-60 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -13.33% ROI).
- 61-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -6.46% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 2.53% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -10.05% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 57-48 against the Run Line (+2.32 Units / 1.63% ROI).
- 56-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.39% ROI
- 41-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.44 Units / -22.8% ROI
- 62-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.05 Units / 14.53% ROI
Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns (CIN) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .244 (11-for-45) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (85/133) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s off-speed pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .584 (437 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (61/169) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Burns has a strikeout rate of 64% (27 SO in 42 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Chase Burns has a strikeout rate of 39% (27 SO in 70 PAs) this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .057 (2-for-35) against Chase Burns with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.
Chase Burns has a strikeout rate of 47% (8 SO in 17 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 19-6 (.760) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 4-41 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 16-33 (.327) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-100 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (10,330 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .803 (5,132 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .479 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .219 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Reds are batting just .223 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Reds hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 41% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Reds pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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