Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

Reds player Tyler Stephenson looking discontented.
(AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
  • The Dodgers are -170 favorites vs the Reds
  • Dodgers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | SNLA | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-170) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+140) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Dodgers are 63-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-49 ATS.

Dodgers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 0-0, 1.50 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 9-9, 4.74 ERA

Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -110O 9.5 -110-170
Reds +1.5 -110U 9.5 -110+140

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+21.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 46-61 against the Run Line (-16.6 Units / -13% ROI).

  • 63-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 55-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.56% ROI
  • 49-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -9.02% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 58-49 against the Run Line (+1.97 Units / 1.36% ROI).

  • 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.15% ROI
  • 41-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.54 Units / -23.3% ROI
  • 63-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 15.1% ROI

Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -150
Michael Conforto (LAD) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Matt McLain (CIN) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Austin Hays (CIN) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Michael Conforto (LAD) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Martinez (CIN) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .633 (665 total bases in 1,051 ABs) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438 — 99th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .690 (468 total bases in 678 ABs) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .441 — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.093 (810 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in NL; League Avg: .776 — 100th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani had an OPS of 1.036 (731 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in NL; League Avg: .769 — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Martinez has struck out just 13% (34/258) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (47/141) against Nick Martinez in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .417 (25-for-60) against Nick Martinez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — eighth Percentile.

Nick Martinez has a strikeout rate of just 15% (12 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Dodgers are 21-6 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 19-6 (.760) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Dodgers are 4-41 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.

The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Reds are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 9-101 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Reds are just 16-34 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds were just 8-18 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .465 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .803 (5,132 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,894 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Reds are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 37% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Batters facing the Reds pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

More MLB Reading:


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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.