Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2022, 10:31 AM
  • The Dodgers (40-25) are -175 favorites vs the Reds (23-43)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (8-0), 1.42 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (2-5), 4.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 40-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 30-36 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -110O 9.5 -115-175
Reds +1.5 -110U 9.5 -105+145

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 33 away games (+16.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 away games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+7.55 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Joey Votto 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
    Jonathan India 0.5 +325 0.5 -600
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

    Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
    Joey Votto 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Jonathan India 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 -140 0.5 +100

    Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aramis Garcia 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Joey Votto 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    Jonathan India 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Kyle Farmer 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Mike Moustakas 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

    Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Tyler Mahle 5.5 -160 5.5 +115
    Tony Gonsolin 5.5 +115 5.5 -160
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 38 games (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 36-29 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 5.28% ROI).

    • 40-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -8.99% ROI
    • 25-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.65 Units / -19.01% ROI
    • 35-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 10.57% ROI

    Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 30-36 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -13.18% ROI).

    • 23-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -22.73% ROI
    • 35-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 2.61% ROI
    • 30-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -12.01% ROI

    Opponents are hitting just .147 (32-for-217) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .100 (14-for-140) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 100th Percentile.

    Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .483 (240 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .174 (73-for-420) against Tony Gonsolin since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

    Tyler Mahle: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Hitters have swung at 35% of Tyler Mahle’s breaking pitches (111/316) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .122 (11-for-90) against Tyler Mahle’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 96th Percentile.

    Tyler Mahle has thrown his slider 39% of the time (421/1,078) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/111) against Tyler Mahle this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

    Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Dodgers are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

    The Dodgers are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

    The Dodgers are 19-4 (.826) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .675.

    The Dodgers are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

    The Reds are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.

    The Reds are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

    The Reds are just 2-126 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Reds are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

    Dodgers hitters have drawn 187 walks in 1,767 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Reds are batting just .231 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .320 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.

    Reds hitters have an OBP of .345 (4,272 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.

    Reds hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.

    Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (5,229 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (2030.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 510 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.48 (286.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Reds pitchers have walked 181 of 2,014 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Alexis Díaz (Reds): Bicep, D15
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.