- The – are favorites vs the –
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Dodgers () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Dodgers vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-25 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 83.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games at home (+16.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+3.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+8.25 Units / 11.26% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -5.44% ROI
- 36-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 14.32% ROI
- 24-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -22.04% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 37-25 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 12.5% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 3.39% ROI
- 35-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 8.49% ROI
- 27-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -16.75% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
15 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 59% of the time (109/184) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed a slugging percentage of just .184 (18 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 95th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has a strikeout rate of 50% (84 SO in 168 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .313 (42-for-134) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 8.22 (73.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .397 (156 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 15% (23/157) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 26-13 (.667) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Dodgers are 52-21 (.712) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Dodgers are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Dodgers are 94-51 (.648) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 23-23 (.500) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are 9-21 (.300) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Reds are just 0-9 (.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 67 extra-base hits out of 129 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,639 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .371 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds are batting .390 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Reds hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 138 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 581 of 8,181 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 838 of 8,627 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Knee, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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