Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (65-32) are -200 favorites vs the Rockies (45-54)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (10-1), 2.78 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (1-2), 3.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Thursday, July 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Dodgers vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 65-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 54-45 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 +100O 12 -115-200
Rockies +2.5 -120U 12 -105+165

Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 44 away games (+17.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 47 away games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Rockies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
C.J. Cron 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Connor Joe 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Elias Diaz 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Rockies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
C.J. Cron 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Connor Joe 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elias Diaz 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Rockies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
C.J. Cron 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Connor Joe 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Elias Diaz 0.5 +160 0.5 -250

Rockies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urena 2.5 -125 2.5 -115
Tyler Anderson 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 94 games (+17.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 97 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 48 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 58-39 against the Run Line (+16.25 Units / 14.12% ROI).

  • 65-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.66% ROI
  • 37-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -19.12% ROI
  • 52-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.8 Units / 10.1% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-45 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 2.11% ROI).

  • 45-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.14% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -3.79% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -5.53% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (86/243) against Tyler Anderson this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 15th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 24% of the time (263/1,113) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson allowed a batting average of just .176 versus the top of the order (best)– 100th Percentile and .274 versus the bottom of the order this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 15th Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .176 against Tyler Anderson this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

José Ureña: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (214/409) of opposing batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against Jose Urena — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (22/34) against Jose Urena this month (4 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .421 (57 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — third Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 35-15 (.700) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 114-47 (.708) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are just 16-30 (.348) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Rockies are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rockies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,019 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,147 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .583 (1,988 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

Dodgers hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Rockies are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .355 (2,040 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (2,224 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 43% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (411.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 93 double plays in 710 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Connor Joe (Rockies): Soreness, Day-to-Day
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.