Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 27, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+230) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-130).

The Dodgers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 43-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 37-43 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -130O 11.5 -105-275
Rockies +2.5 +105U 11.5 -115+230

Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 89.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+17.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+14.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.40 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Rockies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Coco Montes 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Will Smith 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
C.J. Cron 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Rockies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 1.5 +195 1.5 -250
Coco Montes 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Will Smith 1.5 +135 1.5 -175
C.J. Cron 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Coco Montes 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Will Smith 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
C.J. Cron 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Rockies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Connor Seabold 3.5 +115 3.5 -150
Clayton Kershaw 6.5 +115 6.5 -150
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 39-38 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 4.08% ROI).

  • 43-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -6.05% ROI
  • 42-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 10.84% ROI
  • 30-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -18.31% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -10.05% ROI).

  • 31-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -9.22% ROI
  • 34-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -18.55% ROI
  • 46-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 10.75% ROI

Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Clayton Kershaw’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — fourth Percentile.

17 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (332/572) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has a strikeout rate of 49% (103 SO in 208 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.079 (93 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .765 — first Percentile.

Connor Seabold has allowed an OBP of .441 (93 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (31/193) against Connor Seabold this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 13% (4/30) against Connor Seabold on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 154-85 (.644) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 29-14 (.674) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.

The Dodgers are 153-71 (.683) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Dodgers are 22-11 (.667) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are just 49-43 (.533) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Rockies are just 20-8 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 23-57 (.288) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.

The Rockies are just 7-23 (.233) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Dodgers hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 153 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,824 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Dodgers hitters have 110 extra-base hits out of 246 total hits (45%) versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Dodgers have scored 384 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .342 (4,519 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rockies have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 630 of 8,763 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (1761.0 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Rockies pitchers have walked 81 of 694 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
  • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
  • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
  • Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.