Dodgers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (77-33) are -275 favorites vs the Royals (47-66)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (13-1), 2.29 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-7), 4.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+220) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 77-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 54-59 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -105O 9 -105-275
Royals +2.5 -115U 9 -115+220

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 32 of his last 52 away games (+21.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 59 games (+15.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 55 away games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 66 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games at home (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)

Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
MJ Melendez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Michael Massey 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Michael Massey 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
MJ Melendez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Michael Massey 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daniel Lynch 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Tony Gonsolin 5.5 -105 5.5 -140
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 107 games (+27.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games (+20.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 106 games (+17.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+21.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games at home (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 53 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 69-41 against the Run Line (+25.65 Units / 19.69% ROI).

  • 77-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.8% ROI
  • 44-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -15.6% ROI
  • 57-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 6.55% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-59 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -10.57% ROI).

  • 47-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.65% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.66% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -5.37% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .131 (33-for-251) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .178 (69-for-388) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (49/128) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .210 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.

Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .524 (22-for-42) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (28/81) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .353 (36 GB hits out of 102 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/110) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Dodgers are 69-13 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Dodgers are 39-15 (.722) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 6-48 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Royals are just 37-7 (.841) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (3,156 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,284 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (7,409 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,996 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .488 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Royals hitters have drawn 9 walks in 41 PA’s (22%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .982 (1,990 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.

Royals hitters have an OPS of 1.088 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,564 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,564 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have walked 265 of 3,930 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 423 of 4,370 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,014 of 10,497 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.