Dodgers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (77-33) are -275 favorites vs the Royals (47-66)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (13-1), 2.29 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (4-7), 4.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+220) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 77-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 54-59 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -105O 9 -105-275
Royals +2.5 -115U 9 -115+220

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 32 of his last 52 away games (+21.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 59 games (+15.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 55 away games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 66 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games at home (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)

Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
MJ Melendez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Michael Massey 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Michael Massey 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
MJ Melendez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Michael Massey 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Daniel Lynch 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Tony Gonsolin 5.5 -105 5.5 -140
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 107 games (+27.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games (+20.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 106 games (+17.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games (+21.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games at home (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 53 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 69-41 against the Run Line (+25.65 Units / 19.69% ROI).

  • 77-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.8% ROI
  • 44-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -15.6% ROI
  • 57-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 6.55% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-59 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -10.57% ROI).

  • 47-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -7.65% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -3.66% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -5.37% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .131 (33-for-251) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .178 (69-for-388) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (49/128) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .210 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.

Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .524 (22-for-42) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .335 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (28/81) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .353 (36 GB hits out of 102 GBs) against Daniel Lynch this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/110) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Dodgers are 69-13 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Dodgers are 39-15 (.722) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are just 6-48 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Royals are just 37-7 (.841) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (3,156 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,284 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (7,409 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,996 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .488 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Royals hitters have drawn 9 walks in 41 PA’s (22%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .982 (1,990 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.

Royals hitters have an OPS of 1.088 (41 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,564 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,564 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have walked 265 of 3,930 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 423 of 4,370 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,014 of 10,497 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.