Dodgers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Dodgers (78-33) are -300 favorites vs the Royals (47-67)
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.64 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (6-12), 4.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+240) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Dodgers are 78-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 54-60 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -115O 9.5 -115-300
Royals +2.5 -105U 9.5 -105+240

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Dodgers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 33 of his last 53 away games (+22.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 56 away games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 67 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Michael Massey has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 88% ROI)

Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
MJ Melendez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Nathan Eaton 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Nathan Eaton 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
MJ Melendez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Nathan Eaton 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brad Keller 3.5 -115 3.5 -120
Andrew Heaney 5.5 -145 5.5 +100
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 108 games (+28.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 38 games (+21.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 107 games (+15.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games (+22.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-41 against the Run Line (+26.65 Units / 20.21% ROI).

  • 78-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 4.2% ROI
  • 45-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.85 Units / -14.64% ROI
  • 57-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 5.59% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.17% ROI).

  • 47-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -8.41% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -2.83% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -6.2% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (62/184) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (126 Total Bases / 210 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .448 — third Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (393/910) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (101/314) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (80 SO in 511 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (23/154) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Brad Keller this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Dodgers are 38-18 (.679) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Dodgers are 70-13 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 67-5 (.931) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Dodgers are 101-24 (.808) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .648.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Royals are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 6-49 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,173 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,301 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .832 (1,469 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,013 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Royals hitters have an OBP of .476 (42 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .980 (1,996 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.

Royals hitters have just 534 strikeouts in 2,799 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .378 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,564 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (2433.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (462/137) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.

Royals pitchers have walked 430 of 4,412 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,021 of 10,539 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.