- The Dodgers (78-33) are -300 favorites vs the Royals (47-67)
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.64 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (6-12), 4.45 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+240) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Dodgers are 78-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 54-60 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 -115 | O 9.5 -115 | -300 |
| Royals | +2.5 -105 | U 9.5 -105 | +240 |
Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 33 of his last 53 away games (+22.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 56 away games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 67 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kris Bubic has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 88% ROI)
Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 108 games (+28.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 38 games (+21.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 107 games (+15.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games (+22.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 70-41 against the Run Line (+26.65 Units / 20.21% ROI).
- 78-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 4.2% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.85 Units / -14.64% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 5.59% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -11.17% ROI).
- 47-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -8.41% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -2.83% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -6.2% ROI
Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (62/184) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (126 Total Bases / 210 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .448 — third Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (393/910) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (101/314) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (80 SO in 511 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (23/154) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Brad Keller this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Dodgers are 38-18 (.679) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Dodgers are 70-13 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Dodgers are 67-5 (.931) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Dodgers are 101-24 (.808) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .648.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Royals are just 3-29 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Royals are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Royals are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 6-49 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,173 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,301 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .832 (1,469 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,013 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of .476 (42 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .980 (1,996 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Royals hitters have just 534 strikeouts in 2,799 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .378 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (2,564 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (2433.1 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (462/137) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 430 of 4,412 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,021 of 10,539 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
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