- The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Watch the game on FOX
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+200) on Saturday, July 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 46-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 31-51 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +105 | O 9.5 -115 | -250 |
| Royals | +2.5 -125 | U 9.5 -105 | +200 |
Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 86.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+15.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+13.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yonny Hernandez | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Yonny Hernandez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| JD Martinez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yonny Hernandez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+9.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 42-39 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 5.54% ROI).
- 46-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 45-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +11 Units / 12.3% ROI
- 31-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.75 Units / -19.97% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 31-51 against the Run Line (-29.45 Units / -28.92% ROI).
- 23-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -33.1% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.99% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 72% (192/266) in two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (217/654) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Julio Urias has not walked any of the 64 batters that he has faced versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (10/88) against Julio Urias on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (15/105) against Daniel Lynch this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (77/148) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (20/116) against Daniel Lynch this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (63/123) against Daniel Lynch on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Dodgers are 139-25 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Dodgers are 157-86 (.646) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 57-29 (.663) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Dodgers are 31-14 (.689) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Royals are just 7-66 (.096) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Royals are just 5-21 (.192) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .607.
The Royals are just 23-59 (.280) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 22-51 (.301) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (2,878 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Dodgers hitters have 290 extra-base hits out of 664 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 159 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have scored 1.61 runs per game (392/243) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have won just 38% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Royals are batting just .197 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 640 of 8,905 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 233 of 3,040 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Jordan Lyles (Royals): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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