Dodgers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2023, 3:34 PM
  • The Dodgers are + favorites vs the Royals
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+) on Sunday, July 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).

The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Dodgers are 46-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 32-51 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+ +O ++
Royals + +U ++

Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 80.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nicky Lopez 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -350 0.5 +230
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Austin Barnes 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nicky Lopez 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 56 games (+7.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 42-40 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 3.91% ROI).

  • 46-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -6.55% ROI
  • 46-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +12 Units / 13.25% ROI
  • 31-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -20.9% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 32-51 against the Run Line (-28.15 Units / -27.37% ROI).

  • 24-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.3 Units / -30.35% ROI
  • 38-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -10.32% ROI
  • 43-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.82% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .174 (116-for-667) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .196 this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (20-for-103) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .216 (22-for-102) against Tony Gonsolin when he’s behind in the count since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brady Singer has an ERA of 5.88 (82.2 IP)this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.86 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (47/84) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed a slugging percentage of .418 (51 Total Bases / 122 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .287 (95-for-331) against Brady Singer this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Dodgers are 31-14 (.689) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

The Dodgers are 57-29 (.663) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Dodgers are 24-11 (.686) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Dodgers are 157-87 (.643) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Royals are just 7-66 (.096) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.

The Royals are just 6-21 (.222) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .608.

The Royals are just 6-11 (.353) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.

The Royals are just 2-7 (.222) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

Dodgers hitters have 81 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 121 double plays in 1,767 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (2,892 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Dodgers hitters have 236 extra-base hits out of 555 total hits (42%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Royals are batting just .196 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 643 of 8,939 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 236 of 3,074 batters (8%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (900.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.

The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals pitchers have walked 895 of 9,419 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
  • Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jordan Lyles (Royals): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
  • Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.