- The Dodgers are -170 favorites vs the Royals
- Dodgers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Royals TV Channel: SNLA | FDKC
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-170) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+140) on Saturday, June 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Dodgers are 52-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 42-40 ATS.
Dodgers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 4-5, 2.93 ERA
Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -115 | -170 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 9.5 -105 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+14.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 69% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+15.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 away games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 82 games (+32.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 41 games at home (+19.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+18.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+4.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 38-44 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -7.39% ROI).
- 52-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.58% ROI
- 47-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 11.09% ROI
- 34-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -18.61% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 42-40 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -7.31% ROI).
- 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -7.5% ROI
- 31-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.37 Units / -26.09% ROI
- 50-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.9 Units / 17.51% ROI
Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +115 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.045 (377 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .763 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .649 (207 total bases in 319 ABs) this season — best in NL; League Avg: .428 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .671 (139 total bases in 207 ABs) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .437 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .702 (433 total bases in 617 ABs) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .439 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .196 (9-for-46) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 98th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 23% (22 SO in 94 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% (30/131) against Seth Lugo’s low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (19/114) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 52-31 (.627) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 36-42 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Royals are 9-1 (.900) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Royals are just 23-50 (.315) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (Ranks first runs scored) today.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .471 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have put 42% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this month (20 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .227 in hitter’s counts this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have still managed to win 51% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.09 (699.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
The Royals have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (346.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
The Royals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
More MLB Reading:
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