- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Dodgers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Dodgers are 45-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 31-50 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | O 9.5 -110 | -225 |
| Royals | +2.5 -135 | U 9.5 -110 | +180 |
Dodgers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 83.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Dodgers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+14.05 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Royals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 41-39 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 4.57% ROI).
- 45-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 44-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 11.32% ROI
- 31-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -18.96% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 31-50 against the Run Line (-28.45 Units / -28.21% ROI).
- 23-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.35 Units / -32.31% ROI
- 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -12.84% ROI
- 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 3.24% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has thrown 99 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 10th most among pitchers in MLB — 85th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (5/26) against Bobby Miller on inside fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 93rd Percentile.
32% of Bobby Miller’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (115/778) against Cal Quantrill in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 62% (533/861) in two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill threw his slider 37% of the time (522/1,403) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 17% (128/770) in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Dodgers are 31-14 (.689) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Dodgers are 156-86 (.645) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 7-69 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are 138-25 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Royals are just 6-11 (.353) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Royals are just 5-21 (.192) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .607.
The Royals are just 22-51 (.301) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Royals are just 2-6 (.250) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 80 extra-base hits out of 159 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,848 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 14 double plays in 289 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Jordan Lyles (Royals): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, D15
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Knee, D10
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D15
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Trayce Thompson (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
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