- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SNET
The San Francisco Giants (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Giants vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 44-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 37-42 ATS.
Giants vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -145 | O 8 +100 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -120 | -165 |
Giants vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+20.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 39 games (+14.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.45 Units / 85% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Blue Jays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+5.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 42-36 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 4.6% ROI).
- 44-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.84% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.86% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 37-42 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -8.91% ROI).
- 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -5.24% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.49% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (27/46) against Ryan Walker over the last 30 days (13 games) — 12th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 89th Percentile.
Ryan Walker has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (34/71) over the last 30 days (13 games) — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Ryan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .097 (3 Total Bases / 31 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (12 games) — 11th best among in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 90th Percentile.
Ryan Walker has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (34/71) over the last 30 days (13 games) — 6th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fifth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .282 (241 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .496 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .139 (28 Total Bases / 201 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .158 (240 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 77% (600/783) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Giants are 30-23 (.566) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Giants are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Giants are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .107.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Blue Jays are 54-77 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Blue Jays are 117-28 (.807) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Blue Jays are just 4-27 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have drawn 55 walks in 852 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters have 707 strikeouts in 2,784 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 60 extra-base hits out of 201 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 105 strikeouts in 582 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (1,835 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 11 of 54 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 672 of 9,061 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have 154 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (323.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Blue Jays vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Heineman (Blue Jays): Side, Day-to-Day
- Yimi GarcÃa (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Alejandro Kirk (Blue Jays): Hand, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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